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net.finmath.montecarlo.interestrate.models.covariance.LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated Maven / Gradle / Ivy

/*
 * (c) Copyright Christian P. Fries, Germany. Contact: [email protected].
 *
 * Created on 21.07.2019
 */
package net.finmath.montecarlo.interestrate.models.covariance;

import java.util.Map;

import net.finmath.montecarlo.RandomVariableFactory;
import net.finmath.stochastic.RandomVariable;
import net.finmath.stochastic.Scalar;
import net.finmath.time.TimeDiscretization;

/**
 * Implements the volatility model
 * \[
 * 	\sigma_{i}(t_{j}) = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{t_{j+1}-t_{j}} \int_{t_{j}}^{t_{j+1}} \left( ( a + b (T_{i}-t) ) exp(-c (T_{i}-t)) + d \right)^{2} \ \mathrm{d}t } \text{.}
 * \]
 *
 * The parameters here have some interpretation:
 * 
    *
  • The parameter a: an initial volatility level.
  • *
  • The parameter b: the slope at the short end (shortly before maturity).
  • *
  • The parameter c: exponential decay of the volatility in time-to-maturity.
  • *
  • The parameter d: if c > 0 this is the very long term volatility level.
  • *
* * Note that this model results in a terminal (Black 76) volatility which is given * by * \[ * \left( \sigma^{\text{Black}}_{i}(t_{k}) \right)^2 = \frac{1}{t_{k} \int_{0}^{t_{k}} \left( ( a + b (T_{i}-t) ) exp(-c (T_{i}-t)) + d \right)^{2} \ \mathrm{d}t \text{.} * \] * * @author Christian Fries * @version 1.1 */ public class LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated extends LIBORVolatilityModel { private static final long serialVersionUID = -1613728266481870311L; private final double[] coeffTaylorE1 = new double[] { 1, 1.0/2.0, 1.0/6.0, 1.0/24.0, 1.0/120.0 }; private final double[] coeffTaylorE2 = new double[] { 1, 2.0/3.0, 1.0/4.0, 1.0/15.0, 1.0/72.0 }; private final double[] coeffTaylorE3 = new double[] { 1, 3.0/4.0, 3.0/10.0, 1.0/12.0, 1.0/56.0 }; private final double[] coeffTaylorE17 = new double[] { 1, 1.0/2.0, 1.0/6.0, 1.0/24.0, 1.0/120.0, 1.0/720.0, 1.0/5040.0 }; private final double[] coeffTaylorE27 = new double[] { 1, 2.0/3.0, 1.0/4.0, 1.0/15.0, 1.0/72.0, 1.0/420.0, 1.0/2880.0 }; private final double[] coeffTaylorE37 = new double[] { 1, 3.0/4.0, 3.0/10.0, 1.0/12.0, 1.0/56.0, 1.0/320.0, 1.0/2160.0 }; private RandomVariableFactory randomVariableFactory; private final RandomVariable a; private final RandomVariable b; private final RandomVariable c; private final RandomVariable d; private boolean isCalibrateable = false; /** * Creates the volatility model * \[ * \sigma_{i}(t_{j}) = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{t_{j+1}-t_{j}} \int_{t_{j}}^{t_{j+1}} \left( ( a + b (T_{i}-t) ) \exp(-c (T_{i}-t)) + d \right)^{2} \ \mathrm{d}t } \text{.} * \] * * @param randomVariableFactory The random variable factor used to construct random variables from the parameters. * @param timeDiscretization The simulation time discretization tj. * @param liborPeriodDiscretization The period time discretization Ti. * @param a The parameter a: an initial volatility level. * @param b The parameter b: the slope at the short end (shortly before maturity). * @param c The parameter c: exponential decay of the volatility in time-to-maturity. * @param d The parameter d: if c > 0 this is the very long term volatility level. * @param isCalibrateable Set this to true, if the parameters are available for calibration. */ public LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated(final RandomVariableFactory randomVariableFactory, final TimeDiscretization timeDiscretization, final TimeDiscretization liborPeriodDiscretization, final double a, final double b, final double c, final double d, final boolean isCalibrateable) { super(timeDiscretization, liborPeriodDiscretization); this.randomVariableFactory = randomVariableFactory; this.a = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(a); this.b = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(b); this.c = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(c); this.d = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(d); this.isCalibrateable = isCalibrateable; } /** * Creates the volatility model * \[ * \sigma_{i}(t_{j}) = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{t_{j+1}-t_{j}} \int_{t_{j}}^{t_{j+1}} \left( ( a + b (T_{i}-t) ) \exp(-c (T_{i}-t)) + d \right)^{2} \ \mathrm{d}t } \text{.} * \] * * @param timeDiscretization The simulation time discretization tj. * @param liborPeriodDiscretization The period time discretization Ti. * @param a The parameter a: an initial volatility level. * @param b The parameter b: the slope at the short end (shortly before maturity). * @param c The parameter c: exponential decay of the volatility in time-to-maturity. * @param d The parameter d: if c > 0 this is the very long term volatility level. * @param isCalibrateable Set this to true, if the parameters are available for calibration. */ public LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated(final TimeDiscretization timeDiscretization, final TimeDiscretization liborPeriodDiscretization, final RandomVariable a, final RandomVariable b, final RandomVariable c, final RandomVariable d, final boolean isCalibrateable) { super(timeDiscretization, liborPeriodDiscretization); this.a = a; this.b = b; this.c = c; this.d = d; this.isCalibrateable = isCalibrateable; } /** * Creates the volatility model * \[ * \sigma_{i}(t_{j}) = \sqrt{ \frac{1}{t_{j+1}-t_{j}} \int_{t_{j}}^{t_{j+1}} \left( ( a + b (T_{i}-t) ) \exp(-c (T_{i}-t)) + d \right)^{2} \ \mathrm{d}t } \text{.} * \] * * @param timeDiscretization The simulation time discretization tj. * @param liborPeriodDiscretization The period time discretization Ti. * @param a The parameter a: an initial volatility level. * @param b The parameter b: the slope at the short end (shortly before maturity). * @param c The parameter c: exponential decay of the volatility in time-to-maturity. * @param d The parameter d: if c > 0 this is the very long term volatility level. * @param isCalibrateable Set this to true, if the parameters are available for calibration. */ public LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated(final TimeDiscretization timeDiscretization, final TimeDiscretization liborPeriodDiscretization, final double a, final double b, final double c, final double d, final boolean isCalibrateable) { super(timeDiscretization, liborPeriodDiscretization); this.a = new Scalar(a); this.b = new Scalar(b); this.c = new Scalar(c); this.d = new Scalar(d); this.isCalibrateable = isCalibrateable; } @Override public RandomVariable[] getParameter() { if(!isCalibrateable) { return null; } final RandomVariable[] parameter = new RandomVariable[4]; parameter[0] = a; parameter[1] = b; parameter[2] = c; parameter[3] = d; return parameter; } @Override public LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated getCloneWithModifiedParameter(final RandomVariable[] parameter) { if(!isCalibrateable) { return this; } return new LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated( super.getTimeDiscretization(), super.getLiborPeriodDiscretization(), parameter[0], parameter[1], parameter[2], parameter[3], isCalibrateable ); } @Override public RandomVariable getVolatility(final int timeIndex, final int liborIndex) { // Create a very simple volatility model here final double timeStart = getTimeDiscretization().getTime(timeIndex); final double timeEnd = getTimeDiscretization().getTime(timeIndex+1); final double maturity = getLiborPeriodDiscretization().getTime(liborIndex); if(maturity-timeStart <= 0) { return new Scalar(0.0); } final RandomVariable varianceInstantaneous = getIntegratedVariance(maturity-timeStart).sub(getIntegratedVariance(maturity-timeEnd)).div(timeEnd-timeStart); return varianceInstantaneous.sqrt(); } private RandomVariable getIntegratedVariance(final double maturity) { if(maturity == 0) { return new Scalar(0.0); } /* * Integral of the square of the instantaneous volatility function * ((a + b * T) * Math.exp(- c * T) + d); */ /* * http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=integrate+%28%28a+%2B+b+*+t%29+*+exp%28-+c+*+t%29+%2B+d%29%5E2+from+0+to+T * integral_0^T ((a+b t) exp(-(c t))+d)^2 dt = 1/4 ((e^(-2 c T) (-2 a^2 c^2-2 a b c (2 c T+1)+b^2 (-(2 c T (c T+1)+1))))/c^3+(2 a^2 c^2+2 a b c+b^2)/c^3-(8 d e^(-c T) (a c+b c T+b))/c^2+(8 d (a c+b))/c^2+4 d^2 T) */ final RandomVariable aaT = a.squared().mult(maturity); final RandomVariable abTT = a.mult(b).mult(maturity*maturity); final RandomVariable ad2T = a.mult(d).mult(2.0*maturity); final RandomVariable bbTTT = b.squared().mult(maturity*maturity*maturity/3.0); final RandomVariable bdTT = b.mult(d).mult(maturity*maturity); final RandomVariable ddT = d.squared().mult(maturity); final RandomVariable mcT = c.mult(-maturity); final RandomVariable mcT2 = mcT.mult(2.0); RandomVariable expA1 = mcT.expm1().div(mcT); RandomVariable expA2 = mcT.sub(expA1.log()).expm1().div(mcT).mult(expA1).mult(2.0); RandomVariable expB1 = mcT2.expm1().div(mcT2); RandomVariable expB2 = mcT2.sub(expB1.log()).expm1().div(mcT2).mult(expB1).mult(2.0); RandomVariable expB3 = mcT2.sub(expB2.log()).expm1().div(mcT2).mult(expB2).mult(3.0); // Ensure that c is cut off from 0 (the term (exp(-x)-1)/x will have cancelations) // 1 1/2 1/6 1/24 1/120 1/720 1/5040 // 1 2/3 1/4 1/15 1/72 1/420 1/2880 // 1 3/4 3/10 1/12 1/56 1/320 1/2160 final RandomVariable pA1 = polynom(mcT, coeffTaylorE1); final RandomVariable pA2 = polynom(mcT, coeffTaylorE2); final RandomVariable pB1 = polynom(mcT2, coeffTaylorE1); final RandomVariable pB2 = polynom(mcT2, coeffTaylorE2); final RandomVariable pB3 = polynom(mcT2, coeffTaylorE3); final RandomVariable cCutOff1 = mcT.abs().sub(1E-12).choose(new Scalar(1.0), new Scalar(-1.0)); final RandomVariable cCutOff2 = mcT.abs().sub(1E-2).choose(new Scalar(1.0), new Scalar(-1.0)); final RandomVariable cCutOff3 = cCutOff2; expA1 = cCutOff1.choose(expA1, pA1); expA2 = cCutOff2.choose(expA2, pA2); expB1 = cCutOff1.choose(expB1, pB1); expB2 = cCutOff2.choose(expB2, pB2); expB3 = cCutOff3.choose(expB3, pB3); /* integratedVariance = a*a*T*((1-Math.exp(-2*c*T))/(2*c*T)) + a*b*T*T*(((1 - Math.exp(-2*c*T))/(2*c*T) - Math.exp(-2*c*T))/(c*T)) + 2*a*d*T*((1-Math.exp(-c*T))/(c*T)) + b*b*T*T*T*(((((1-Math.exp(-2*c*T))/(2*c*T)-Math.exp(-2*c*T))/(T*c)-Math.exp(-2*c*T)))/(2*c*T)) + 2*b*d*T*T*(((1-Math.exp(-c*T))-T*c*Math.exp(-c*T))/(c*c*T*T)) + d*d*T; */ RandomVariable integratedVariance = aaT.mult(expB1); integratedVariance = integratedVariance.add( abTT.mult(expB2) ); integratedVariance = integratedVariance.add( ad2T.mult(expA1) ); integratedVariance = integratedVariance.add( bbTTT.mult(expB3) ); integratedVariance = integratedVariance.add( bdTT.mult(expA2) ); integratedVariance = integratedVariance.add( ddT ); return integratedVariance; } private RandomVariable polynom(final RandomVariable x, final double[] coeff) { RandomVariable p = x.mult(coeff[coeff.length-1]).add(coeff[coeff.length-2]); for(int i=coeff.length-3; i >= 0; i--) { p = p.mult(x).add(coeff[i]); } return p; } @Override public Object clone() { return new LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated( super.getTimeDiscretization(), super.getLiborPeriodDiscretization(), a, b, c, d, isCalibrateable ); } @Override public LIBORVolatilityModel getCloneWithModifiedData(final Map dataModified) { RandomVariableFactory randomVariableFactory = null; TimeDiscretization timeDiscretization = this.getTimeDiscretization(); TimeDiscretization liborPeriodDiscretization = this.getLiborPeriodDiscretization(); RandomVariable a = this.a; RandomVariable b = this.b; RandomVariable c = this.c; RandomVariable d = this.d; boolean isCalibrateable = this.isCalibrateable; if(dataModified != null) { // Explicitly passed covarianceModel has priority randomVariableFactory = (RandomVariableFactory)dataModified.getOrDefault("randomVariableFactory", randomVariableFactory); timeDiscretization = (TimeDiscretization)dataModified.getOrDefault("timeDiscretization", timeDiscretization); liborPeriodDiscretization = (TimeDiscretization)dataModified.getOrDefault("liborPeriodDiscretization", liborPeriodDiscretization); isCalibrateable = (boolean)dataModified.getOrDefault("isCalibrateable", isCalibrateable); if(dataModified.containsKey("randomVariableFactory")) { a = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(a.doubleValue()); b = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(b.doubleValue()); c = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(c.doubleValue()); d = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(d.doubleValue()); } if(dataModified.getOrDefault("a", a) instanceof RandomVariable) { a = ((RandomVariable)dataModified.getOrDefault("a", a)); }else if(randomVariableFactory != null){ a = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable((double)dataModified.get("a")); }else { a = new Scalar((double)dataModified.get("a")); } if(dataModified.getOrDefault("b", b) instanceof RandomVariable) { b = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(((RandomVariable)dataModified.getOrDefault("b", b)).doubleValue()); }else if(randomVariableFactory != null){ b = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable((double)dataModified.get("b")); }else { b = new Scalar((double)dataModified.get("b")); } if(dataModified.getOrDefault("c", c) instanceof RandomVariable) { c = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(((RandomVariable)dataModified.getOrDefault("c", c)).doubleValue()); }else if(randomVariableFactory != null){ c = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable((double)dataModified.get("c")); }else { c = new Scalar((double)dataModified.get("c")); } if(dataModified.getOrDefault("d", d) instanceof RandomVariable) { d = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable(((RandomVariable)dataModified.getOrDefault("d", d)).doubleValue()); }else if(randomVariableFactory != null){ d = randomVariableFactory.createRandomVariable((double)dataModified.get("d")); }else { d = new Scalar((double)dataModified.get("d")); } } final LIBORVolatilityModel newModel = new LIBORVolatilityModelFourParameterExponentialFormIntegrated(timeDiscretization, liborPeriodDiscretization, a, b, c, d, isCalibrateable); return newModel; } }




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