data.3news-bydate.test.rec.sport.baseball.104421 Maven / Gradle / Ivy
From: [email protected] (Greg Spira)
Subject: Re: Braves Pitching UpdateDIR
Organization: University of Denver, Dept. of Math & Comp. Sci.
Lines: 28
[email protected] (David Grabiner) writes:
>In article , David Robert Walker writes:
>> In article <[email protected]> [email protected] (Neal Traven) writes:
>>>One also has to separate offense into batting and baserunning, with the
>>>split probably somewhere around 49.5% and 0.5%.
>> I'd give baserunning a little more credit than that, maybe 45-5, or
>> even 40-10. Give a team of Roberto Alomar and a team of John Oleruds
>> identical batting stats (which wouldn't be that unreasonable), and
>> even if you don't let Roberto steal a single base, they'll score a lot
>> more than the Oleruds by going first-to-third more often. (No offense,
>> Gordon).
>I wouldn't give baserunning that much value.
I meant to comment on this at the time.
There's just no way baserunning could be that important - if it was,
runs created wouldn't be nearly as accurate as it is.
Runs Created is usually about 90-95% accurate on a team level, and
there's a lot more than baserunning that has to account for the
remaining percent.
Greg