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From: [email protected] (Mark Singer)
Subject: Re: Bases loaded walk gives Reds win in 12: RedReport 4-21
Organization: Netcom Online Communications Services (408-241-9760 login: guest)
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In article  [email protected] (David Grabiner) writes:
>In article , Mark Singer writes:
>
>Based only on this data*, I don't see any reason to
>pinch-hit for Sabo, or any other player who had been a poor clutch
>hitter in the past.
>
>But there are many other factors involved in a decision to pinch-hit.
>Does the pinch-hitter give you a platoon advantage?  (Any portion of
>Sabo's clutch split that results from his platoon split is certainly a
>real ability, even if it has nothing to do with clutch hitting.)  Do you
>have a singles hitter at the plate when you need a home run?  Do you
>have a curveball pitcher facing a batter who has trouble with curves?


Hey!  What's this?  We agree!

No platoon advantage (Sabo vs. Samuel).

Both players have a reputation of being excellent fastball hitters,
	and both have a reputation of being fooled too often with
	slow curves and change ups.

Sabo has more power, and a little bit of a better batting eye.  Samuel
	is noted as an agressive free-swinger.  Sabo has more homerun power.

Both players started the game hitting below .200.  

There may have been some game considerations that might have prompted
	Perez to want to reserve Samuel for use later.  But the game
	*was* on the line, and Samuel never did get in.

Given all of this, I don't see a lot to suggest pinch-hitting, nor do
I see anything to suggest no pinch-hitting.  There is, of course, the
clutch-hitting information.  But if that's useless...

Then again.  If it's not...


>
>--
>David Grabiner, [email protected]
>"We are sorry, but the number you have dialed is imaginary."
>"Please rotate your phone 90 degrees and try again."
>Disclaimer: I speak for no one and no one speaks for me.


-- 
Mark Singer    
[email protected]




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